Belenenses vs Amarante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
61
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
116
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Ventura ,
  • 40', Machado J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Horta Leitao D. , Bruninho ,
  • 63', Cuca , Sambu M. ,
  • 64', Arome , Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ,
  • 64', Duda , Eduardo W. ,
  • 64', Innusah H. , Meireles A. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Saint-Louis J. ,
  • 76', Machado J. , Jansonas R. ,
  • 78', Saint-Louis J. , Conceicao M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Souza E. ,
  • 86', Ventura 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ventura , Aguiar E. ,
  • 90+5', Almeida F. , Ribeiro O. ,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
53.3%
Draw
28.1%
Amarante
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 28.3% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 26.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Belenenses - Amarante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.68)
    3.24
    (3)
    4.89
    (4)
    9.8%
    (17.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Amarante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Belenenses is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Amarante were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Amarante - Belenenses 1:4
    15.03.2025 Belenenses - Amarante 0:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    Latest results of Amarante
    21.02.2026 Amarante - Mafra 1:0
    07.02.2026 Varzim - Amarante 2:1
    25.01.2026 Amarante - Trofense 1:1
    18.01.2026 Paredes - Amarante 0:0
    11.01.2026 Amarante - Braga B 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica54019:4512
    2Amarante54017:4312
    3Os Belenenses632111:8311
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B63129:6310
    5Santarem62047:10-36
    6Varzim62046:9-36
    7Trofense61234:7-35
    8Mafra61144:9-54

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