Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Ventura ⚽,
- 40', Machado J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 63', Cuca ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 64', Arome ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
- 64', Duda ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
- 64', Innusah H. ↓, Meireles A. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Saint-Louis J. ⚽,
- 76', Machado J. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
- 78', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Souza E. ⚽,
- 86', Ventura 🟨,
- 90+4', Ventura ↓, Aguiar E. ↑,
- 90+5', Almeida F. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Belenenses 53.3% | Draw 28.1% | Amarante 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Belenenses - Amarante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.68) |
3.24 ↑ (3) |
4.89 ↑ (4) |
9.8% (17.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Amarante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Belenenses is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Amarante?
Belenenses has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Belenenses?
Amarante has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Amarante were as follows:
10.05.2025
Amarante
-
Belenenses
1:4
15.03.2025
Belenenses
-
Amarante
0:0
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Amarante | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )