Result
0:4
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 43
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (225/350) | 71% (296/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 3.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (225/350) | 71% (296/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (20/69) | 45% (41/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (36/95) | 53% (65/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.53 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 59 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.06 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Nichols T. ⚽, Smith H. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', McEachran G. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
- 55', Hume D. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 59', Turi G. D. 🟨,
- 63', Khouri E. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 3, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
- 76', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 76', Rose D. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 78', Cotterill J. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
- 78', Clarke O. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 81', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 87', Tshimanga K. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 4, Ameen B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
48.7% | Draw
26.1% | Swindon Town
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.8) |
3.62 ↓
(3.85) |
3.73 ↓
(3.89) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Injury)
Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Swindon Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Grimsby Town?
Swindon Town has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
21.12.2024
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
3:1
20.04.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
2:0
30.09.2023
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
2:1
14.01.2023
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
5:0
24.09.2022
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
1:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
