El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX).

USL Championship
Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
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Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.70
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	10
Passes
81% (331/410)	83% (381/460)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	0.32
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	10
Touches in opposition box
14	16
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
9	18
Passes
81% (331/410)	83% (381/460)
Long passes
34% (19/56)	38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
64% (55/86)	62% (64/104)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.52
Fouls
18	9
Tackles
73% (11/15)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
42	54
Clearances Total
30	18
Interceptions
14	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	7
xGOT faced
0.32	1.11
Goals prevented
-0.68	-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ortiz A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
25', Djeffal S. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
45+1', Moreno A. 🟨,
45+3', Ackwei W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Nick Firmino 🟨,
55', Hafferty J. 🟨,
59', Rodrigues B. P. 🟨,
60', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
65', Ortiz A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Burke C. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
82', Ackwei W. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
82', Moreno A. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
82', Sargeant K. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
90', Burke C. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

El Paso Locomotive
43.6%

Draw
26.5%

Lexington
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Paso Locomotive - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.39)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)	3.08 ↑ (2.62)	8.5% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
El Paso is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lexington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lexington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
El Paso will have a mini benefit in this match.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Lexington?

El Paso Locomotive has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against El Paso Locomotive?

Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Lexington were as follows:

Latest results of El Paso Locomotive

02.04.2025 Ventura County - El Paso Locomotive 0:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

19.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Harpos 5:1 ✺

15.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 4:4 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

01.04.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - Lexington 3:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Lexington - San Antonio 2:3 ✺

22.03.2025 Lexington - Indy Eleven 1:1 ✺

19.03.2025 Lexington - Southern Indiana 5:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Orange County SC - Lexington 2:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	24	17	6	1	48:18	30	57
2	Charleston ✔	24	16	3	5	50:27	23	51
3	Loudoun	24	11	4	9	39:40	-1	37
4	North Carolina	23	11	3	9	35:32	3	36
5	Hartford Athletic	24	10	5	9	37:27	10	35
6	Detroit	24	8	8	8	29:30	-1	32
7	Pittsburgh	24	8	7	9	23:23	0	31
8	Rhode Island	24	7	6	11	17:24	-7	27
9	Indy Eleven	24	7	5	12	36:43	-7	26
10	Tampa Bay	23	6	4	13	27:37	-10	22
11	Birmingham	23	4	10	9	29:38	-9	22
12	Miami FC	24	5	6	13	22:38	-16	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	24	13	7	4	39:26	13	46
2	Sacramento Republic	23	10	8	5	35:19	16	38
3	New Mexico	23	10	3	10	31:31	0	33
4	San Antonio	23	9	6	8	31:30	1	33
5	El Paso	23	8	8	7	37:33	4	32
6	Lexington	24	8	8	8	26:30	-4	32
7	Colorado Springs	23	8	7	8	32:33	-1	31
8	Phoenix Rising	24	7	10	7	40:42	-2	31
9	Orange County SC	22	8	5	9	34:34	0	29
10	Oakland Roots	23	7	4	12	28:37	-9	25
11	Las Vegas Lights	24	6	7	11	18:39	-21	25
12	Monterey Bay	25	6	6	13	24:36	-12	24

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )