Result
3:1
25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (441/545) | 71% (226/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (441/545) | 71% (226/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (26/74) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (94/134) | 56% (55/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Tatsuta Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Sato K. ⚽, Ko T. (A),
- 59', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 59', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 68', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 68', Nakagawa T. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 71', Kato H. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
- 71', Tabei R. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
- 77', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
- 82', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Tawaratsumida K. ⚽, Sato K. (A),
- 89', Esaka A. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Sato K. ⚽, Ko T. (A),
- 90+2', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
47.6% | Draw
27.9% | Fagiano Okayama
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.09) |
3.38 ↑
(3.33) |
3.81 ↑
(3.59) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
- Recent performances by Tokyo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Okayama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tokyo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Higashi K.
(Yellow Cards)
Nagakura M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Okayama: Brodersen S.
(Red Card)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tokyo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Fagiano Okayama?
Tokyo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Tokyo?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
06.04.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Tokyo
1:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
