Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama
Result
3:1
25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.22
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (441/545)71% (226/319)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.28
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2125
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
119
Passes
81% (441/545)71% (226/319)
Long passes
35% (26/74)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
70% (94/134)56% (55/99)
Crosses
13% (2/15)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.02
Throw-ins
2224
Fouls
911
Tackles
54% (7/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
3630
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.281.41
Goals prevented
0.28-1.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Tatsuta Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Sato K. , Ko T. (A),
  • 59', Ichimi K. , Lucao ,
  • 59', Iwabuchi H. , Kimura T. ,
  • 68', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 68', Nakagawa T. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 71', Kato H. , Yanagi T. ,
  • 71', Tabei R. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Esaka A. , Kamiya Yuta (A),
  • 77', Marcos Guilherme , Tawaratsumida K. ,
  • 82', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Tawaratsumida K. , Sato K. (A),
  • 89', Esaka A. , Werik Popo ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Sato K. , Ko T. (A),
  • 90+2', Nagatomo Y. , Oka T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
47.6%
Draw
27.9%
Fagiano Okayama
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 28.4% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 28.9% 26.8%

Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.03
(2.09)
3.38
(3.33)
3.81
(3.59)
5.1%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
    • Recent performances by Tokyo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Okayama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tokyo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Higashi K. (Yellow Cards) Nagakura M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Okayama: Brodersen S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tokyo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo 1:0
    Latest results of Tokyo
    04.10.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo 1:1
    23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League