Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.45
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (191/283)79% (386/486)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.00
Total shots
613
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1725
Through passes
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
109
Passes
67% (191/283)79% (386/486)
Long passes
28% (13/47)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
62% (70/113)66% (83/126)
Crosses
5% (1/22)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.01
Fouls
910
Tackles
40% (6/15)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4764
Clearances Total
2826
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.000.10
Goals prevented
0.66-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
  • 41', Fujii K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fujii K. , Tabei R. ,
  • 59', Tawaratsumida K. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 59', Ichimi K. , Lucao ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Tabei R. ,
  • 63', Nakagawa T. , Kitahara M. ,
  • 63', Hashimoto K. , Higashi K. ,
  • 78', Esaka A. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 81', Anzai S. , Oka T. ,
  • 81', Sato K. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 85', Abe K. , Yanagi Y. ,
  • 86', Kimura T. , Iwabuchi H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
37.6%
Draw
31.3%
Tokyo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 30.5% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 30% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.32)
    2.99
    (3.08)
    3.03
    (3.25)
    6.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).
    • Okayama is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Tokyo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Okayama will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Baek I. (Hamstring Injury) Morishige M. (Injury) Nagatomo Y. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Tokyo
    02.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo 2:2
    29.03.2025 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3
    20.03.2025 Nara Club - Tokyo 0:1
    15.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo 1:0
    08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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