Result
1:3
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (194/286) | 83% (378/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (194/286) | 83% (378/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/58) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (32/81) | 69% (64/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Lara J. (A),
- 27', Assis S. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Diaz I. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 35', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 40', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
- 43', Londono A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garcia A. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
- 46', Brasil M. ↓, Di Pippa A. ↑,
- 46', Peraza F. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
- 46', Mir M. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
- 46', Assis S. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
- 60', Correa L. 🟨,
- 61', Anasco M. 🟨,
- 66', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 73', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Diaz I. ⚽,
- 90', Cacciabue J. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 90+1', Londono A. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
- 90+1', Moreno L. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Anasco M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
37.5% | Draw
30.4% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.65) |
3.07 ↓
(3.1) |
2.93 ↑
(2.71) |
6.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cerro Largo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cerro Largo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerro Largo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Cerro Largo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Cerro Largo?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
10.04.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Cerro Largo
3:1
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
