Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 05:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/239) | 77% (333/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/239) | 77% (333/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (49/87) | 66% (104/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 54', Kimura T. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 54', Yanagi T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 55', Germain R. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 65', Esaka A. 🟨,
- 71', Lucao ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 71', Sasaki S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 82', Arai N. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 86', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
- 86', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 1, Nakamura S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
23.4% | Draw
28% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fagiano Okayama's form might have worsened.Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sanfrecce Hiroshima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(2.82) |
3.34 ↑
(3.14) |
1.93 ↓
(2.63) |
6.6%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 59.8% – 94.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Fagiano Okayama?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
12.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:1
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
