Result
1:0
08/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (373/458) | 74% (222/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (373/458) | 74% (222/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (110/152) | 45% (30/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Sonora A. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 43', Dominguez C. 🟥,
- 43', Castro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Klimowicz M. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
- 46', Paredes C. ↓, Servin L. J. ↑,
- 52', Cazonatti G. 🟨,
- 61', Cazonatti G. ↓, Yotun Y. ↑,
- 72', Avila I. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
- 72', Gonzalez J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Vizeu F. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
- 86', Torres J. ↓, Paez E. ↑,
- 86', Chaparro M. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
- 90', Castro M. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
- 90+2', Tavara M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
38.5% | Draw
30.5% | Cerro Porteño
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.42) |
3.07 ↓
(3.16) |
3.04 ↓
(3.05) |
6.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Sporting Cristal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sporting Cristal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Servin L. J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Cerro Porteño?
Sporting Cristal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sporting Cristal?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
13.05.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
24.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sporting Cristal
2:2
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Penarol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Universidad Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
