Avellino vs Padova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Avellino
42.2%
Draw
31.5%
Padova
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.7% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 28.3% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Avellino - Padova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.09)
    2.95
    (3.23)
    3.62
    (3.46)
    6.4%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.
    • Avellino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Padova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Avellino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Padova were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Padova - Avellino 2:2
    03.05.2025 Avellino - Padova 0:1
    Latest results of Avellino
    03.03.2026 Venezia - Avellino 4:0
    28.02.2026 Avellino - Juve Stabia 0:0
    22.02.2026 Reggiana - Avellino 1:1
    15.02.2026 Avellino - Pescara 0:1
    11.02.2026 Avellino - Frosinone 1:3
    Latest results of Padova
    03.03.2026 Padova - Spezia 2:2
    28.02.2026 Modena - Padova 1:2
    21.02.2026 Padova - Bari 1:1
    14.02.2026 Sampdoria - Padova 1:0
    10.02.2026 Padova - Carrarese 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia28186458:253360
    2Monza28186444:212360
    3Frosinone27159350:262454
    4Palermo27149446:212551
    5Catanzaro27129639:291045
    6Modena28127937:241343
    7Juve Stabia27912631:31039
    8Cesena281151236:41-538
    9Sudtirol28813731:28337
    10Padova288101030:35-534
    11Empoli277101033:37-431
    12Carrarese277101032:37-531
    13Avellino28791230:46-1630
    14Sampdoria27781228:36-829
    15Reggiana28781329:40-1129
    16Entella286101226:40-1428
    17Mantova27761427:42-1527
    18Spezia28681425:37-1226
    19Bari275101223:39-1625
    20Pescara27491432:52-2021

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation