Austin FC vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Austin FC - Atlanta United
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
Austin FC - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.33
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
85% (340/401)84% (336/400)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.801.35
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
85% (340/401)84% (336/400)
Long passes
45% (25/56)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
66% (80/122)70% (57/81)
Crosses
26% (7/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.06
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
1010
Tackles
63% (5/8)33% (2/6)
Duels won
3833
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.350.80
Goals prevented
0.35-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. ,
  • 56', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 56', Hernandez R. , Fortune A. ,
  • 57', Klich M. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 59', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 69', Williams D. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 79', Wolff O. , Kolmanic Z. ,
  • 79', Bukari O. , Obrian J. ,
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 85', Vazquez B. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 85', Sabovic B. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Thiare J. , Lobjanidze S. (A),
  • 90+3', Uzuni M. , Rubio D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
50.2%
Draw
24.7%
Atlanta United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.9% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 27% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Austin FC - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.32)
    3.86
    (3.53)
    3.81
    (2.94)
    4.7%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Austin FC - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlanta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Pereira D. (Hip Injury) Taylor R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Amador P. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Austin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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