Result
2:0
01/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (283/411) | 72% (324/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (283/411) | 72% (324/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (26/80) | 40% (32/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (51/116) | 62% (93/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Nagato K. ⚽, Ideguchi Y. (A),
- 35', Hirose R. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Capixaba ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
- 46', Chiba K. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 46', Komatsu R. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 56', Nakahara H. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Ogihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Kozuka K. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
- 74', Inoue K. 🟨,
- 79', Yoshida Y. ↓, Hidaka H. ↑,
- 79', Nagato K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
- 90+3', Iino N. ↓, Sakai G. ↑,
- 90+3', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Thuler M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vissel Kobe
50.5% | Draw
25.7% | Shimizu S-Pulse
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.85) |
3.6 ↓
(4.03) |
3.97 ↑
(3.69) |
6.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Vissel Kobe (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vissel Kobe will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vissel Kobe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vissel Kobe is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Hamasaki K.
(Inactive)
Muto Y.
(Surgery)
Sasaki D.
(Injury)
Yamada K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Hasukawa S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Vissel Kobe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Vissel Kobe?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
21.02.2026
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Vissel Kobe
1:0
27.09.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
2:1
25.05.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Vissel Kobe
3:2
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
