Amiens vs Rodez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 11
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.50
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
81% (311/383)80% (220/274)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.22
Total shots
714
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
81% (311/383)80% (220/274)
Long passes
61% (43/70)35% (15/43)
Passes in final third
64% (56/88)67% (56/83)
Crosses
14% (1/7)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.39
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
1112
Tackles
59% (13/22)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4335
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.220.98
Goals prevented
1.22-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Balde I. ,
  • 33', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨,
  • 38', Tourraine M. 🟨,
  • 39', Joly O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Mlakar J. ,
  • 67', Joly O. , Younoussa W. ,
  • 67', Tourraine M. , Galves N. ,
  • 68', Mlakar J. , Averlant T. ,
  • 68', Balde I. , Nagera K. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Hamache I. , Lobry V. (A),
  • 76', Jean-Lambert E. , Ponti R. ,
  • 76', Monconduit T. , Nduquidi J. ,
  • 82', Appiah A. , Louis C. ,
  • 86', Ikia Dimi Y. , Touho M. ,
  • 86', Kaiboue K. , Lutin R. ,
  • 86', Jolibois C. , Baaloudj M. ,

Chances of winning


Amiens
32.2%
Draw
27.7%
Rodez
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 26.8% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.8% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Amiens - Rodez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.65)
    3.41
    (3.45)
    2.34
    (2.42)
    6.9%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Amiens - Rodez?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Rodez (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rodez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Rodez (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Amiens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Amiens: Fofana I. (Red Card) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rodez: Corredor M. (Inactive) Crombez E. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Saka M. (Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury) Vangi D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Ikia Dimi Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Rodez were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Rodez - Amiens 1:1
    27.09.2024 Amiens - Rodez 2:1
    09.03.2024 Amiens - Rodez 1:1
    16.12.2023 Rodez - Amiens 2:2
    18.03.2023 Amiens - Rodez 1:3
    Latest results of Amiens
    20.10.2025 Nancy - Amiens 0:1
    03.10.2025 Amiens - Boulogne 0:1
    27.09.2025 Dunkerque - Amiens 6:2
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    19.09.2025 Laval - Amiens 0:3
    Latest results of Rodez
    17.10.2025 Rodez - Reims 2:2
    04.10.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Bastia - Rodez 2:3
    19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National