Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (184/314) | 59% (189/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (184/314) | 59% (189/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (23/82) | 34% (31/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 36% (47/129) | 51% (71/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Johnson R. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 52', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
- 59', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 60', Street R. ↓, One R. ↑,
- 61', Hackford A. 🟨,
- 66', Hackford A. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
- 67', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
- 76', Bishop N. 🟨,
- 81', House B. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 81', Darikwa T. ↓, Elerewe D. ↑,
- 81', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 87', Nelson Z. ↓, Jennings K. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, One R. ⚽, Towler R. (A),
- 90', Bauer P. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
- 90+2', Bugiel O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
66.1% | Draw
21.1% | AFC Wimbledon
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Lincoln City - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.49) |
4.48 ↑
(4.06) |
7.39 ↑
(6.61) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
- Lincoln is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lincoln is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Draper F.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Health problems)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Reach A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tilley J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Stevens M.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Injury)
- We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against AFC Wimbledon?
Lincoln City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Lincoln City?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
09.08.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Lincoln City
2:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 41 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 77:35 | 42 | 90 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 74:42 | 32 | 78 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 52:45 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 41 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 59:42 | 17 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 40 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 4 | 64 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 64:56 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Reading | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 62:54 | 8 | 62 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 62:53 | 9 | 61 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 59:55 | 4 | 51 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 60:64 | -4 | 51 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56:64 | -8 | 50 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 49:62 | -13 | 50 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 42:64 | -22 | 50 |
| 18 | Wigan | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 44:55 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Burton | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 45:56 | -11 | 48 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 48:64 | -16 | 48 |
| 21 | Exeter | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 45:53 | -8 | 46 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:59 | -24 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
