Alianza Lima vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Alianza Lima - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
13/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
55.9%
Draw
25.2%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.1% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 26.3% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Lima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Alianza Lima - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.67)
    3.73
    (3.92)
    4.99
    (4.91)
    6.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2