Result
3:3
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 32
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (342/446) | 68% (208/307) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (342/446) | 68% (208/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 33% (22/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (110/153) | 49% (55/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.24 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Bradshaw T. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 25', 2 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
- 27', 2 - 2, Bugiel O. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
- 31', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Cleary R. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 59', Bradshaw T. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
- 62', Bland J. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 3, Browne M. ⚽, Maycock C. (A),
- 76', Nkeng R. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
- 77', Roberts M. ↓, O'Connell E. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 3, Banks S. ⚽,
- 87', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 88', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley 46.9% | Draw 26.2% | AFC Wimbledon 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↑ (1.86) |
3.58 ↑ (3.47) |
3.47 ↓ (3.91) |
6.8% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Barnsley might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnsley: Earl J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against AFC Wimbledon?
Barnsley has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Barnsley?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
23.08.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Barnsley
2:0
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64:36 | 28 | 69 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 59:31 | 28 | 68 |
| 3 | Bolton | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 58 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 48:43 | 5 | 48 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 48 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 46:36 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Luton | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 42:40 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 49:48 | 1 | 45 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:46 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 | Exeter | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 37:34 | 3 | 41 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 50:52 | -2 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
| 17 | Burton | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40:50 | -10 | 37 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 36 |
| 21 | Wigan | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:46 | -12 | 34 |
| 22 | Northampton | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:46 | -16 | 34 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:47 | -15 | 31 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:43 | -18 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two