Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 2
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (276/324) | 86% (358/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (276/324) | 86% (358/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (48/70) | 75% (71/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Mota D. ⚽, Caprari G. (A),
- 4', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 1, Moncini G. ⚽,
- 19', Obiang P. 🟨,
- 27', Caprari G. 🟨,
- 33', Partipilo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Galazzi N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 70', Partipilo A. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 75', Caprari G. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 75', Mota D. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 75', Braunoder M. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 79', Lucchesi L. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
- 80', Moncini G. ↓, Kassama S. ↑,
- 80', Vicari F. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
- 82', Kassama S. 🟨,
- 88', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yrhu9dvu
Chances of winning
Bari
28.1% | Draw
31.2% | Monza
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Bari - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(3.02) |
3.12 ↑
(3.07) |
2.35 ↓
(2.47) |
2.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bari - Monza?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Monza will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Monza has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Colangiuli V.
(Inactive)
Gytkjaer C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Inactive)
Bakoune A.
(Inactive)
Carboni A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Monza: Forson O.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Monza?
Bari has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Bari?
Monza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Monza were as follows:
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
