Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (272/337) | 84% (301/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (272/337) | 84% (301/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 29% (10/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (58/88) | 78% (97/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 15% (5/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Pontisso S. ⚽,
- 8', Cutrone P. 🟨,
- 15', D'Alessandro M. 🟨,
- 18', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 29', Azzi P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 32', Pittarello F. 🟨,
- 36', Alesi G. 🟥,
- 45', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Obiang P. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 46', Lucchesi L. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
- 48', Cutrone P. 🟨,
- 52', Ciurria P. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 67', Liberali M. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
- 67', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 69', Brighenti N. 🟨,
- 74', Hernani ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 76', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 76', Balde K. 🟥,
- 89', Pittarello F. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Pessina M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
30.5% | Draw
28.3% | Monza
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Catanzaro - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.73) |
3.31 ↓
(3.38) |
2.29 ↓
(2.45) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Monza?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Monza will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Muscle Injury)
Iemmello P.
(Yellow Cards)
Nuamah P.
(Red Card)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Birindelli S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Monza?
Catanzaro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Catanzaro?
Monza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Monza were as follows:
04.10.2025
Monza
-
Catanzaro
2:1
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
