Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (519/596) | 52% (90/173) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (519/596) | 52% (90/173) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (213/262) | 44% (37/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
- 38', Evans G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Tavares F. ↓, Godwin-Malife U. ↑,
- 66', Wintle R. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
- 67', Ashford C. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 67', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 69', Revan S. 🟨,
- 74', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 77', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Webster C. ⚽,
- 89', Fish W. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 90+1', Kpakio R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Evans G. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 90+5', Salech Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
67% | Draw
19.7% | Burton Albion
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Cardiff City - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42
(1.42) |
4.85 ↑
(4.07) |
6.9 ↑
(5.62) |
5.5%
(12.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to international match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4.
- Cardiff is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Burton Albion?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Cardiff City?
Burton Albion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Burton Albion were as follows:
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
