Palermo vs Südtirol-Alto Adige – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo).

Serie B - Round 26
Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.44	1.02
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
8	3
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
66% (189/288)	71% (288/407)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.44	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
3.20	0.85
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
2	9
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
6	9
Shots outside the box
8	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
12	26
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
5	2
Free kicks
11	15
Passes
66% (189/288)	71% (288/407)
Long passes
39% (31/80)	43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
57% (54/95)	59% (91/153)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	1.22
Throw ins
18	34
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
67% (8/12)	89% (8/9)
Duels won
57	64
Clearances
58	22
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	5
xGOT faced
0.85	3.20
Goals prevented
0.85	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 2 - 0, Le Douaron J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Ceccaroni P. ⚽, Ranocchia F. (A),
54', Frigerio M. R. 🟨,
54', Bani M. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
65', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
65', Pierozzi N. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
65', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
65', Pecorino E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
66', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Tronchin S. ↑,
78', Veseli F. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
81', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
81', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
82', Casiraghi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
90+4', Tonin R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Palermo
55.9%

Draw
26.2%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.61)	3.56 ↓ (3.78)	5.17 ↑ (5.15)	6.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 40% – 93.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, Palermo is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Kofler R. (Yellow Cards) Martini J. (Injury) Masiello A. (Inactive) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive)
We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?

Palermo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Palermo?

Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:

14.09.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo 0:2

01.05.2025 Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige 1:2

30.09.2024 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo 1:3

10.05.2024 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo 0:1

01.10.2023 Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige 2:1

Latest results of Palermo

14.02.2026 Palermo - Virtus Entella 3:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Sampdoria - Palermo 3:3 ✺

07.02.2026 Palermo - Empoli 3:2 ✺

30.01.2026 Bari - Palermo 0:3 ✺

24.01.2026 Modena - Palermo 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige

15.02.2026 Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige 1:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro 2:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova 3:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	31	20	7	4	63:26	37	67
2	Monza	31	19	7	5	49:25	24	64
3	Frosinone	31	17	11	3	59:31	28	62
4	Palermo	31	16	10	5	51:27	24	58
5	Catanzaro	30	14	10	6	48:35	13	52
6	Modena	30	13	8	9	40:24	16	47
7	Juve Stabia	31	9	15	7	35:37	-2	42
8	Cesena	31	11	7	13	38:46	-8	40
9	Avellino	31	10	9	12	36:49	-13	39
10	Sudtirol	31	8	14	9	33:32	1	38
11	Carrarese	31	8	12	11	38:42	-4	36
12	Padova	31	8	10	13	32:42	-10	34
13	Mantova	31	9	7	15	35:46	-11	34
14	Empoli	31	7	12	12	39:45	-6	33
15	Sampdoria	31	7	10	14	29:42	-13	31
16	Bari	31	7	10	14	30:47	-17	31
17	Entella	31	7	10	14	28:45	-17	31
18	Spezia	31	7	9	15	30:43	-13	30
19	Reggiana	31	7	9	15	30:46	-16	30
20	Pescara	31	6	11	14	41:54	-13	29

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation