Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.631.45
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2429
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Long passes
24% (11/46)55% (17/31)
Passes in final third
47% (30/64)71% (103/145)
Crosses
36% (5/14)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.09
Throw-ins
1828
Fouls
1813
Tackles
60% (12/20)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4761
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.453.63
Goals prevented
0.45-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. , Lod R. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 9', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 30', Kikanovic B. , Lima N. ,
  • 38', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Yeboah K. , Oluwaseyi T. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 0, Markanich A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romney D. , Roberts R. ,
  • 62', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,
  • 62', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 64', Roberts R. 🟨,
  • 65', Munie D. 🟨,
  • 68', Munie D. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 68', Bouda O. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 68', Vitor Costa , Judd P. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. , Judd P. (A),
  • 77', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 84', Arango C. 🟨,
  • 85', Pereyra J. , Duggan M. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Rosales J. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Yeboah K. (A2)
  • 90+5', Yeboah K. , Randell A. ,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
48.4%
Draw
24.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 23.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 22.9% 24%

Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.96
(1.82)
3.91
(4.13)
3.47
(3.92)
5.5%
(4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - San Jose (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 4 - 57.1%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury) Speel W. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury) Jones D. (Red Card) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C. (Injury) Ricketts J. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    08.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 0:1
    31.08.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:2
    20.07.2024 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    30.09.2023 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    02.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)