Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.491.13
Total shots
913
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
76% (227/297)85% (434/511)
Long passes
52% (32/61)28% (11/40)
Passes in final third
63% (52/82)74% (109/147)
Crosses
11% (1/9)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.52
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
2015
Tackles
79% (11/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.131.49
Goals prevented
0.13-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Dorsey G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Boxall M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 52', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Diaz J. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
  • 62', Lodeiro N. , Bassi A. ,
  • 62', Sviatchenko E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Hlongwane B. , Markanich A. (A), Trapp W. (A2)
  • 70', 3 - 0, Lod R. , Gressel J. (A), Hlongwane B. (A2)
  • 71', Gene O. , Pereyra J. ,
  • 75', Lingr O. , Ennali L. ,
  • 75', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 79', Yeboah K. 🟨,
  • 82', Pereyra J. 🟨,
  • 82', Artur , Holmes D. ,
  • 84', Gressel J. , Jeong S. ,
  • 84', Hlongwane B. , Randell A. ,
  • 84', Yeboah K. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Felipe Andrade ,
  • 90+5', Markanich A. , Padelford D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
47.3%
Draw
26.4%
Houston Dynamo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 24.5% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.1% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.8)
    3.6
    (3.9)
    3.6
    (4.25)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Minnesota (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Minnesota (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Minnesota (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Minnesota (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Minnesota United will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
    • Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Houston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Harvey C. (International duty) Oluwaseyi T. (International duty) Rosales J. (International duty) Shashoua S. (Leg Injury) St.Clair D. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Batioja A. (Injury) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 2:0
    13.07.2024 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 1:1
    13.04.2024 Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo 1:2
    12.07.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 0:3
    23.05.2023 Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United 4:0
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

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