Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham).

League One - Round 28
Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.10	0.95
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
8	4
Passes
60% (152/253)	71% (224/316)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
3.10	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	0.91
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked shots
8	3
Shots inside the box
11	4
Shots outside the box
5	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
30	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
15	18
Passes
60% (152/253)	71% (224/316)
Long passes
25% (16/64)	21% (13/62)
Passes in final third
55% (57/104)	51% (47/92)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.91	0.36
Throw ins
21	31
Fouls
18	15
Tackles
59% (10/17)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
61	58
Clearances
14	46
Interceptions
14	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.91	1.92
Goals prevented
-0.09	0.92

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', James R. 🟨,
39', Johnson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yearwood D. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
48', Bauer P. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Jules Z. ⚽, Kaleta M. (A),
60', Gray H. 🟨,
72', Bauer P. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
72', Spence K. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
72', Stevens M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
72', Reeves J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
73', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
77', Nombe S. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
78', Kaleta M. ↓, Agbaire L. ↑,
78', Gray H. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Rotherham United
37.9%

Draw
30.4%

AFC Wimbledon
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.4%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.57)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	2.94 ↑ (2.81)	6.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rotherham United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3.
Rotherham is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Wimbledon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Rotherham has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Rotherham: Hall D. (Inactive) Hatton B. (Inactive) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Lewis J. (Red Card) McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Benson J. (Injury) Douglas H. (Inactive) Gore D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against AFC Wimbledon?

Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Rotherham United?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

13.09.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Rotherham United 2:1

Latest results of Rotherham United

17.01.2026 Stockport County - Rotherham United 3:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Rotherham United - Peterborough United 0:2 ✺

29.12.2025 Blackpool - Rotherham United 4:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

17.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

12.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21 4:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 2:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon 1:3 ✺

29.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64:36	28	69
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	59:31	28	68
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	45:33	12	58
4	Bradford City	33	17	7	9	42:36	6	58
5	Stockport County	33	16	8	9	46:41	5	56
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	55:45	10	52
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	48:43	5	48
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35:34	1	48
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46:36	10	47
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	42:40	2	46
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49:49	0	46
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	49:48	1	45
13	AFC Wimbledon	32	12	6	14	39:46	-7	42
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	37:34	3	41
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	50:52	-2	41
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	37:35	2	39
17	Burton	33	10	9	14	38:46	-8	39
18	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36:51	-15	39
19	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	40:50	-10	37
20	Leyton Orient	32	10	6	16	43:53	-10	36
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	34:46	-12	34
22	Northampton	34	9	7	18	30:46	-16	34
23	Rotherham	32	8	7	17	32:47	-15	31
24	Port Vale	31	6	8	17	25:43	-18	26

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two