Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 28
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (152/253) | 71% (224/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (152/253) | 71% (224/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (16/64) | 21% (13/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (57/104) | 51% (47/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', James R. 🟨,
- 39', Johnson R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yearwood D. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 48', Bauer P. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Jules Z. ⚽, Kaleta M. (A),
- 60', Gray H. 🟨,
- 72', Bauer P. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
- 72', Spence K. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
- 72', Stevens M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 72', Reeves J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 73', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 77', Nombe S. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 78', Kaleta M. ↓, Agbaire L. ↑,
- 78', Gray H. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
37.9% | Draw
30.4% | AFC Wimbledon
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.57) |
3.07 ↓
(3.08) |
2.94 ↑
(2.81) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Rotherham United will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rotherham United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3.
- Rotherham is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Wimbledon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Rotherham has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hatton B.
(Inactive)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Lewis J.
(Red Card)
McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Gore D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against AFC Wimbledon?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Rotherham United?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
13.09.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Rotherham United
2:1
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
