Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Meraj TV
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
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cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Ultra
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
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irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
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italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanWowow Prime
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new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.650.73
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
2815
Shots on target
155
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (344/402)87% (455/524)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
3.650.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.610.46
Total shots
2815
Shots on target
155
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
2010
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4929
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
149
Passes
86% (344/402)87% (455/524)
Long passes
51% (21/41)42% (13/31)
Passes in final third
75% (115/153)75% (64/85)
Crosses
27% (3/11)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.70
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
914
Tackles
73% (8/11)68% (15/22)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
15
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
413
xGOT faced
0.463.61
Goals prevented
-0.541.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Weah T. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 35', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 54', Eder Militao 🟨,
  • 63', Mastantuono F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 63', Rodrygo ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
  • 66', O'Riley M. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 66', Kondogbia G. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
  • 72', Carvajal D. 🟥,
  • 74', Guler A. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
  • 75', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 78', Emerson ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
  • 78', Weah T. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 87', Pavard B. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
  • 90+7', Carreras A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
68.3%		Draw
18.8%		Olympique Marseille
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 17.3% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↑
    (1.36)    		 5.07 ↓
    (5.57)    		 7.44 ↓
    (8.04)    		 4.4%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 61 - 85.9%). Marseille will win (votes: 5 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.8% – 94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Real (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Real (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Real (1.92) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Real (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Real (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Real (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 33 - 94.3%). Marseille (votes: 1 - 2.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Real has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Head Injury) Blanco R. (Inactive) Lirola P. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    13.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    19.08.2025 Real Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    12.08.2025 Swarovski Tirol - Real Madrid 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    12.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 4:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    15.08.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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