Los Angeles Galaxy vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati
Result
2:3
20/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.332.46
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2322
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (383/445)90% (478/529)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.332.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.132.24
Total shots
2322
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
1914
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4142
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
87
Passes
86% (383/445)90% (478/529)
Long passes
35% (13/37)68% (26/38)
Passes in final third
82% (157/191)84% (149/177)
Crosses
29% (4/14)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.162.61
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
78
Tackles
52% (11/21)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
1520
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
76
xGOT faced
2.242.13
Goals prevented
-0.760.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Echenique E. , Evander (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Brenner , Evander (A), Denkey K. (A2)
  • 39', 1 - 2, Paintsil J. , Fagundez D. (A), Miller H. (A2)
  • 43', Fagundez D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Parente I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Parente I. 🟨,
  • 59', Hagglund N. 🟨,
  • 60', Hagglund N. , Powell A. ,
  • 62', Nelson J. , Aude J. ,
  • 62', Miller H. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 72', Gidi S. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 72', Denkey K. , Jabbari A. ,
  • 73', Echenique E. , Marczuk D. ,
  • 77', Yamane M. , Berry M. ,
  • 87', Fagundez D. , Lepley T. ,
  • 87', Cerrillo E. , Ramos R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Brenner , Evander (A),
  • 89', Evander , Anunga T. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Cuevas M. , Paintsil J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
36.6%
Draw
24.9%
Cincinnati
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 26.1% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 26.2% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.63)
    3.83
    (3.6)
    2.47
    (2.47)
    5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • LA Galaxy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Aude J. (Foot Injury) Matheus Nascimento (Groin Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury) Reus M. (Thigh Injury) Sanabria L. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Celentano R. (Leg Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Smith B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Ramirez C. (Lower-Body Injury) Zanka (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, LA Galaxy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)