Osasuna B vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Osasuna B - Real Madrid Castilla
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Chances of winning


Osasuna B
30.6%
Draw
29.3%
Real Madrid Castilla
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 30.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasuna B's form might have worsened.
  • Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid Castilla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Osasuna B - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.33)
    3.18
    (2.94)
    2.32
    (3.03)
    8.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Osasuna B
    14.09.2025 Real Avilés - Osasuna B 2:0
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    20.08.2025 Osasuna B - Teruel 2:0
    16.08.2025 Osasuna B - Mutilvera 1:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife33007:079
    2Guadalajara43016:339
    3Racing Club Ferrol33005:239
    4Ath Bilbao B42203:128
    5Arenteiro42114:227
    6Zamora41302:116
    7Cacereno41215:6-15
    8Celta Vigo B31114:314
    9Arenas Getxo31115:504
    10CF Talavera31114:404
    11Barakaldo31113:304
    12Osasuna B31112:3-14
    13Real Aviles31112:3-14
    14Pontevedra41122:4-24
    15Ponferradina41035:6-13
    16Real Madrid B31022:3-13
    17Merida AD41034:9-53
    18Ourense CF30212:3-12
    19Lugo30121:3-21
    20Unionistas30030:4-40

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation