Result
3:1
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 86% (413/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 86% (413/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (26/65) | 35% (17/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/115) | 76% (135/177) |
| Crosses |
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| 36% (5/14) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
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| 41% (7/17) | 37% (7/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽, Lonwijk N. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, McConnell G. ⚽, Smith K. (A),
- 44', Morris S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Knight B. ↓, Mayor A. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Kachunga E. ⚽, Purrington B. (A),
- 60', Nelson Z. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 60', Andersen M. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
- 60', Bramall C. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 64', Brophy J. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 65', Smith K. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
- 73', Morris S. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Kachunga E. ⚽, Kouassi K. (A),
- 86', Clark J. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 86', McConnell G. ↓, McDougald L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United 18% | Draw 22.2% | Luton Town 59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cambridge United - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.19 ↑ (3.47) |
4.27 ↑ (3.73) |
1.62 ↓ (1.9) |
4.6% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Luton will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 0.
- Cambridge has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Luton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Luton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Luton Town?
Cambridge United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Cambridge United?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Luton Town
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | |
| 5 | West Ham U21 | AFC Wimbledon | |
| 6 | Luton | Swindon | |
| 7 | Northampton | Walsall | |
| 8 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | |