Result
2:1
10/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 26
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (311/424) | 59% (183/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (311/424) | 59% (183/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (14/64) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (72/119) | 50% (68/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 84% (21/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 29', Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Fanne L. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Freestone L. ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 1, Clark J. ⚽,
- 62', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
- 69', Roberts J. 🟨,
- 70', Patterson P. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 70', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 70', White H. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 77', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 84', Kemp D. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 90', Freestone L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Roberts J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 90+3', Kodua G. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
49% | Draw
29.3% | Stevenage Borough
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Luton Town - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.14) |
3.18 ↑
(3.08) |
4.26 ↑
(3.37) |
7.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 59.8% – 94.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Jones I.
(Injury)
Richards J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Makosso C.
(Inactive)
Naismith K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Luton Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
04.10.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Luton Town
2:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
