Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 3.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (191/281) | 85% (464/546) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 3.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (191/281) | 85% (464/546) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (20/71) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (46/91) | 64% (105/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Russell J. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Russell J. ⚽, Reed L. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Andersen M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 2, Morris S. ⚽, Palmer K. (A),
- 58', Roberts T. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
- 58', Reed L. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
- 66', Hewitt E. 🟨,
- 66', Naismith K. 🟨,
- 69', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 79', Russell J. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
- 79', McLaughlin S. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
- 80', Lawrence E. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 84', Dwyer D. 🟨,
- 89', Morris S. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 89', van den Berg D. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
- 90+1', Hendry R. ↓, Blake-Tracy F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town
31% | Draw
26.8% | Luton Town
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mansfield Town - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.55) |
3.54 ↑
(3.25) |
2.25 ↓
(2.5) |
5.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Luton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 16.1% – 74.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1.
- In recent matches, Mansfield has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Luton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Luton has had a series of home games.
- Luton might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Roberts L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Jones I.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Luton Town?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Mansfield Town?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Luton Town were as follows:
18.10.2025
Luton Town
-
Mansfield Town
0:2
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
