Result
1:2
03/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (539/613) | 74% (235/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (539/613) | 74% (235/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (32/48) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (117/167) | 55% (51/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/30) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Mendy E. ⚽, Gelin J. (A),
- 29', 0 - 2, Fdaouch Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Experience M. 🟨,
- 66', Experience M. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,
- 66', Hamache I. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 66', Lutin R. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Rafii Y. ⚽,
- 81', Bamba R. 🟨,
- 81', Bouriaud T. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
- 82', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
- 82', Bamba R. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 87', Evans J. 🟨,
- 88', Chabane A. ↓, Kandil N. ↑,
- 89', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 90+3', Nduquidi J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 90+3', Louis C. ↓, Lo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Amiens 27.7% | Draw 29.1% | Nancy 43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Amiens - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.37 ↓ (3.44) |
3.19 ↓ (3.33) |
2.16 ↑ (2.08) |
7.4% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Amiens - Nancy?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.25 - Amiens (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Amiens (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Nancy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kandil N.
(Knee Injury)
Lo A.
(Inactive)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
Monconduit T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C.
(Injury)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Maouassa F.
(Injury)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Nancy?
Amiens has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Amiens?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Nancy were as follows:
20.10.2025
Nancy
-
Amiens
0:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National