Result
1:1
14/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Sergio Benito ⚽,
- 36', Aranzabe A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ciria A. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
- 46', Ortega J. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
- 57', Aranzabe A. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
- 57', Ramos J. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 66', Guerrero A. ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
- 66', Ochoa M. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 71', Fortuny P. ↓, Navascues L. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Navascues L. ⚽,
- 77', Sergio Benito ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
- 83', Rivas M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 83', Fati L. ↓, Aguado D. ↑,
- 90', Jelbat A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Aguado D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
49.6% | Draw
28.9% | Ourense CF
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.99) |
3.18 ↓
(3.29) |
4.27 ↑
(3.68) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF?
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid Castilla will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 15).
- Real Madrid Castilla is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ourense CF has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ourense CF?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Ourense CF has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF were as follows:
19.10.2025
Ourense CF
-
Real Madrid Castilla
1:3
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife ✔ | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B ✔ | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | Lugo | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 34:37 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 46 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 38 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
