Ourense CF vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Total shots
77
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Munoz D. 🟨,
  • 15', Martin R. , Yanez D. ,
  • 43', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Bouzaig A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Munoz D. , Camus M. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Palacios C. ,
  • 65', Ramos J. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Valdepenas V. , Jimenez D. (A),
  • 68', Ouhdadi O. , Castillo N. ,
  • 68', Ramos J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 71', Raton A. 🟨,
  • 76', Carmona F. 🟨,
  • 77', 0 - 3, Zuniga L. (Pen),
  • 79', Prado M. , Gueye L. ,
  • 79', Guerrero A. , Coto E. ,
  • 80', Zuniga L. , Iglesias Lois B. ,
  • 80', Angel M. , Perea C. ,
  • 83', Cestero Sancho J. , Fortea J. ,
  • 83', Palacios C. , Castrelo G. ,
  • 88', Serrano M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Vazquez K. ,
  • 90+4', Vazquez K. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
32.6%
Draw
30.9%
Real Madrid Castilla
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 28.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.9% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.65)
    3
    (3.1)
    2.54
    (2.4)
    8.3%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Real Madrid Castilla (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    04.10.2025 Ferrol - Ourense CF 1:1
    01.10.2025 Bergantiños - Ourense CF 0:2
    27.09.2025 Ourense CF - Pontevedra 1:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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