Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Munoz D. 🟨,
- 15', Martin R. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
- 43', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
- 45+8', Bouzaig A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Munoz D. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 65', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 2, Valdepenas V. ⚽, Jimenez D. (A),
- 68', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
- 68', Ramos J. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 71', Raton A. 🟨,
- 76', Carmona F. 🟨,
- 77', 0 - 3, Zuniga L. (Pen),
- 79', Prado M. ↓, Gueye L. ↑,
- 79', Guerrero A. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
- 80', Zuniga L. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 80', Angel M. ↓, Perea C. ↑,
- 83', Cestero Sancho J. ↓, Fortea J. ↑,
- 83', Palacios C. ↓, Castrelo G. ↑,
- 88', Serrano M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Vazquez K. ⚽,
- 90+4', Vazquez K. 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF 32.6% | Draw 30.9% | Real Madrid Castilla 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.81 ↑ (2.65) |
3 ↓ (3.1) |
2.54 ↑ (2.4) |
8.3% (11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Real Madrid Castilla (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Ourense CF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ourense CF?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation