Result
0:4
24/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 9
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (341/399) | 81% (257/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (341/399) | 81% (257/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/102) | 73% (66/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.86 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Esteves L. ⚽,
- 5', Buatu J. 🟨,
- 14', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
- 27', Abdulai S. 🟨,
- 31', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 35', Naves 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Garcia S. ⚽, Pablo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Abdulai S. ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 46', Buatu J. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 3, Pablo ⚽, Murilo de Souza (A),
- 58', Garcia S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 63', Amorim ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
- 63', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 68', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 68', Fernandes J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 4, Fernandez M. ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
- 71', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 74', Naves ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
- 74', Esteves L. 🟥,
- 79', Lincoln (Pen),
- 80', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 83', Cabezas G. 🟨,
- 89', Caseres F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alverca
13.1% | Draw
23.1% | Gil Vicente
63.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alverca's form might have worsened.Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gil Vicente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+18.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alverca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-26.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gil Vicente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alverca - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.35 ↑
(2.9) |
6.63 ↑
(3.03) |
2.09 ↓
(2.55) |
-29%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alverca - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Gil Vicente (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gil Vicente could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
Leo Chu
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
da Silva Ventura A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Alverca: James I.
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Gil Vicente?
Alverca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Alverca?
Gil Vicente has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Gil Vicente were as follows:
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
