Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 14
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (138/226) | 74% (209/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (138/226) | 74% (209/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (30/76) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (38/77) | 61% (77/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Perkins J. 🟨,
- 26', Wormleighton J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 40', Dabo L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Swyer K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Naismith K. 🟨,
- 60', Clark J. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 67', Perkins J. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
- 67', Swyer K. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
- 73', Kodua G. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Dabo L. ⚽, Jones I. (A),
- 87', Lonwijk N. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
- 87', Richards J. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
23.8% | Draw
28.8% | Luton Town
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Northampton Town - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(3.73) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
2 ↑
(1.97) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
- Northampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Luton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Luton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Dyche M.
(Inactive)
Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
List E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Vale J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Thigh Injury)
McCarthy C.
(Inactive)
McGeehan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Lonwijk N.
(Inactive)
Walsh L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Luton Town?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Northampton Town?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 48 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 34:25 | 9 | 46 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Bolton | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 32:25 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Luton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 37 |
| 9 | Reading | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 35 |
| 10 | Peterborough | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:34 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 33 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 32 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Exeter | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 15 | Wigan | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Plymouth | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 29 |
| 20 | Northampton | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 21 | Burton | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 24 |
| 23 | Doncaster | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
