Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Andrezinho ⚽, Silva D. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Lobo G. ⚽, Reko Silva (A),
- 45+1', Pedro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Nuninho 🟨,
- 57', Duarte E. 🟨,
- 59', Nuninho ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 59', Duarte E. ↓, Roka ↑,
- 59', Lobo G. ↓, Joel ↑,
- 65', Saldanha F. 🟨,
- 71', Sousa V. ↓, Mauro Ribeiro ↑,
- 71', Andrezinho ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 73', Reko Silva 🟨,
- 75', Ivandro ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
- 80', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 83', Diagne O. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
- 83', Kibe ↓, Marllon ↑,
- 83', Ribeiro P. ↓, Sousa T. ↑,
- 84', Marllon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marco 09 26.4% | Draw 31.4% | Trofense 42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco 09's form might have worsened.Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco 09, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marco 09 - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.53 ↑ (2.98) |
2.97 ↑ (2.9) |
2.21 ↓ (2.59) |
7.4% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Marco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Trofense has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Trofense?
Marco 09 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Marco 09?
Trofense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco 09 - Trofense were as follows:
Latest results of Marco 09
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Varzim | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Amarante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Paredes | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Amora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )