Marco 09 vs Trofense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Marco 09 - Trofense
Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
109
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Andrezinho , Silva D. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Lobo G. , Reko Silva (A),
  • 45+1', Pedro M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Nuninho 🟨,
  • 57', Duarte E. 🟨,
  • 59', Nuninho , Pereira M. ,
  • 59', Duarte E. , Roka ,
  • 59', Lobo G. , Joel ,
  • 65', Saldanha F. 🟨,
  • 71', Sousa V. , Mauro Ribeiro ,
  • 71', Andrezinho , Duarte D. ,
  • 73', Reko Silva 🟨,
  • 75', Ivandro , Rocha T. ,
  • 80', Pereira M. 🟨,
  • 83', Diagne O. , Borges F. ,
  • 83', Kibe , Marllon ,
  • 83', Ribeiro P. , Sousa T. ,
  • 84', Marllon 🟨,

Chances of winning


Marco 09
26.4%
Draw
31.4%
Trofense
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 32.3% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 32.3% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco 09's form might have worsened.
  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco 09, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marco 09 - Trofense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.98)
    2.97
    (2.9)
    2.21
    (2.59)
    7.4%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Marco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Trofense has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Marco 09
    18.10.2025 Marco 09 - Farense 0:3
    05.10.2025 Paredes - Marco 09 2:0
    28.09.2025 Marco 09 - Braga B 2:2
    19.09.2025 Marco 09 - Elvas 1:0
    Latest results of Trofense
    11.10.2025 Trofense - Varzim 2:1
    04.10.2025 Trofense - Sanjoanense 1:2
    21.09.2025 Trofense - Vianense 2:3
    13.09.2025 Trofense - Fafe 5:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense843113:6715
    2Sanjoanense826013:10312
    3Braga B83327:7012
    4AD Fafe83329:9012
    5Varzim824213:10310
    6AD Marco 0981614:5-19
    7Amarante82246:10-48
    8Paredes81528:808
    9Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
    10Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas852111:7417
    2Os Belenenses851210:7316
    3Mafra843111:8315
    4Academica841313:8513
    5Atletico CP83148:6210
    61u00ba Dezembro82336:11-59
    7Amora82248:11-38
    8Santarem82245:9-48
    9Lusitano GC82159:10-17
    10Covilha81434:8-47

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )