Result
0:1
18/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Sousa V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ivandro ↓, Melro R. ↑,
- 46', Oliveira J. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Soares P. ⚽, Silva D. (A),
- 63', 🟨,
- 68', Sousa V. ↓, Erivaldo ↑,
- 69', Welisson ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
- 73', Duarte E. ↓, Joel ↑,
- 76', Soares P. 🟨,
- 77', Nuninho ↓, Roka ↑,
- 77', Duarte D. ↓, Doukoure H. ↑,
- 78', Daniel J. 🟨,
- 79', Cunha G. 🟨,
- 81', Doukoure H. 🟨,
- 85', Carvalho D. 🟥,
- 88', Soares P. ↓, Garro L. ↑,
- 88', Matos T. ↓, Ze Couto ↑,
- 90+10', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Trofense
44% | Draw
30.3% | Marco 09
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trofense's form might have worsened.Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco 09's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trofense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco 09, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Trofense - Marco 09 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.74) |
3.02 ↓
(3.19) |
3.56 ↓
(4.64) |
9.2%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Trofense - Marco 09?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Marco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Marco is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
- Trofense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marco is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Trofense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Trofense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Marco 09?
Trofense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Trofense?
Marco 09 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Marco 09 were as follows:
25.10.2025
Marco 09
-
Trofense
1:1
Latest results of Trofense
Latest results of Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
