Result
5:1
02/11/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 14
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/400) | 84% (303/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.71 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/400) | 84% (303/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 35% (11/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (87/105) | 63% (46/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 3.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Liseth S. ⚽, Ambros L. (A),
- 22', Marcjanik M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 1, Rusyn N. ⚽,
- 50', 2 - 1, Khlan M. ⚽, Ambros L. (A),
- 59', 3 - 1, Hellebrand P. ⚽, Khlan M. (A),
- 61', Sow O. (Pen),
- 62', 4 - 1, Sow O. ⚽,
- 63', Hellebrand P. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
- 64', Ambros L. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
- 64', Kerk S. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 64', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Gojny D. ↑,
- 64', Marcjanik M. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
- 71', 5 - 1, Zahovic L. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
- 75', Khlan M. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
- 75', Liseth S. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 75', Sow O. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 76', Kocyla D. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
- 76', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 80', Zator D. 🟨,
- 84', Sidibe A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze
61.2% | Draw
22.7% | Arka Gdynia
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Zabrze's performance.Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Górnik Zabrze that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Górnik Zabrze - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.79) |
4.12 ↑
(3.37) |
5.79 ↑
(3.79) |
6.7%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Arka Gdynia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Górnik Zabrze (1.81) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Górnik Zabrze will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Górnik Zabrze will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 3.
- Górnik Zabrze is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Górnik Zabrze is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- We predict that Górnik Zabrze will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Arka Gdynia?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Górnik Zabrze?
Arka Gdynia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
30.10.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:2
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
