Result
5:1
06/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Calero J. ⚽, Navarrete D. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Trejo Castro M. A. ⚽, Vidrio N. (A),
- 26', Martinez D. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
- 26', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Solis E. ↑,
- 27', 3 - 0, Calero J. ⚽,
- 43', 3 - 1, Esnaider F. ⚽, Salomon O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lopez C. ↓, Acosta C. ↑,
- 46', Torres Sauri M. ↓, Benitez S. ↑,
- 57', Esnaider F. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 57', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 59', 4 - 1, Casillas J. ⚽,
- 60', Galvan P. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 64', 5 - 1, Amador K. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
- 78', Robles E. ↓, Christian ↑,
- 83', Christian 🟨,
- 84', Navarrete D. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Venados 55.2% | Draw 23.3% | Tlaxcala 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Venados - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.79) |
3.97 ↑ (3.9) |
4.31 ↑ (3.73) |
8.1% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Venados - Tlaxcala?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tlaxcala will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Venados (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.
- Recent performances by Venados have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tlaxcala has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Venados is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Venados won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Tlaxcala?
Venados has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Venados?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Tlaxcala were as follows:
11.04.2025
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
26.10.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:1
21.02.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:0
21.07.2023
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
14.03.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:1
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tampico Madero (3) | Leones Negros (6) | 4 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atlante (1) | Tepatitlan de Morelos (8) | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Irapuato (4) | Zacatecas Mineros (5) | 2 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Cancun (2) | Atl. Morelia (7) | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tampico Madero (3) | Tepatitlan de Morelos (8) | |
| 2 | Irapuato (4) | Atl. Morelia (7) | 0 : 0 |