Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Gurrea D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 3, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
- 22', Lopez F. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Santillan F. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
- 46', Palma M. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
- 47', Gama D. 🟨,
- 55', Zamudio J. 🟨,
- 66', Zago D. ↓, Mariscal K. ↑,
- 66', Celaya J. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
- 68', Madrid W. 🟨,
- 74', Pedroza M. 🟨,
- 77', Garcia M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 77', Espinosa E. ↓, Lora S. ↑,
- 77', Serna A. ↓, Carrillo L. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Pedroza M. (Pen),
- 90+9', 2 - 1, Calzadilla L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Venados
59.9% | Draw
21.9% | Tlaxcala
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Venados - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.44) |
4.2 ↓
(4.6) |
5.06 ↓
(6.01) |
8.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Venados won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Venados is a favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Venados won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Venados won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Tlaxcala?
Venados has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Venados?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Tlaxcala were as follows:
26.10.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:1
21.02.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:0
21.07.2023
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
14.03.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:1
04.10.2022
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
3:0
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
