Cesena vs Avellino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
09/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 12
  • Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.82
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
80% (277/346)90% (550/614)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.330.51
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
80% (277/346)90% (550/614)
Long passes
47% (22/47)57% (27/47)
Passes in final third
72% (66/92)73% (109/149)
Crosses
7% (1/14)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.65
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1610
Tackles
53% (9/17)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3953
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.512.33
Goals prevented
0.51-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Ciervo R. , Shpendi C. (A),
  • 29', Francesconi M. 🟨,
  • 30', Simic L. , Rigione M. ,
  • 35', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Rigione M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 0, Shpendi C. (Pen),
  • 45+8', Patierno C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Crespi V. , Russo R. ,
  • 46', Besaggio M. , Tutino G. ,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Blesa J. , Ciervo R. (A),
  • 53', Blesa J. 🟨,
  • 61', Sounas D. 🟨,
  • 62', Insigne R. , Lescano F. ,
  • 65', Berti T. , Bastoni S. ,
  • 65', Shpendi C. , Olivieri M. ,
  • 74', Sounas D. , Kumi J. ,
  • 78', Blesa J. , Balde S. ,
  • 78', Francesconi M. , Adamo E. ,
  • 83', Ciervo R. 🟨,
  • 85', Ciervo R. , Guidi M. ,
  • 90+4', Adamo E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yns5y7xe

Chances of winning


Cesena
51.8%
Draw
27.2%
Avellino
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 27.6% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.5% 21.3%

Cesena - Avellino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(1.84)
3.4
(3.34)
4.43
(4.15)
6.6%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Avellino?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 46.4%99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Avellino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cesena is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cesena: Bisoli D. (Inactive) Magni V. (Inactive) Siano A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Patierno C. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Avellino: Palumbo M. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
    Latest results of Cesena
    02.11.2025 Bari - Cesena 1:0
    28.10.2025 Cesena - Carrarese 2:1
    18.10.2025 Spezia - Cesena 1:2
    04.10.2025 Cesena - Reggiana 1:2
    Latest results of Avellino
    01.11.2025 Avellino - Reggiana 4:3
    28.10.2025 Pescara - Avellino 1:1
    25.10.2025 Avellino - Spezia 0:4
    18.10.2025 Juve Stabia - Avellino 2:0
    04.10.2025 Avellino - Mantova 0:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone20126238:182042
    2Venezia20125337:162141
    3Monza20115429:171238
    4Palermo20107330:141637
    5Cesena20104627:22534
    6Modena2095628:171132
    7Catanzaro2087527:24331
    8Juve Stabia2079422:22030
    9Empoli2076726:25127
    10Carrarese2068627:30-326
    11Padova2067720:22-225
    12Avellino2067724:33-925
    13Sudtirol20410619:22-322
    14Reggiana20551024:30-620
    15Entella2048818:27-920
    16Mantova20541118:29-1119
    17Sampdoria20461020:28-818
    18Spezia20451118:28-1017
    19Bari2038916:30-1417
    20Pescara20281025:39-1414

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation