Result
2:0
05/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Italy | LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (317/405) | 75% (287/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (317/405) | 75% (287/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 29% (15/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (61/89) | 57% (56/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Palumbo A. ⚽, Le Douaron J. (A),
- 33', Palmiero L. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
- 37', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 37', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
- 43', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Simic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Besaggio M. ↓, Enrici P. ↑,
- 46', Patierno C. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 46', Pierozzi N. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
- 57', Joronen J. ↓, Gomis A. ↑,
- 64', Biasci T. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 66', Gyasi E. 🟨,
- 71', Palumbo A. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 72', Segre J. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 80', Sounas D. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Ranocchia F. ⚽, Pohjanpalo J. (A),
- 85', Bani M. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ysed73yn
Chances of winning
Palermo
60.2% | Draw
23.8% | Avellino
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palermo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Palermo - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.46) |
3.94 ↓
(4.34) |
5.8 ↓
(6.35) |
6.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palermo - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2.
- Palermo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Avellino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Palermo is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Modesto R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Iannarilli A.
(Inactive)
Reale F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sgarbi L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Avellino?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Palermo?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Avellino were as follows:
20.12.2025
Avellino
-
Palermo
2:2
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
