Result
5:0
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 17
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (178/273) | 82% (475/580) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (178/273) | 82% (475/580) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/72) | 40% (29/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 67% (118/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 11% (3/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Cleary R. ⚽, Keillor-Dunn D. (A),
- 16', Saville G. 🟨,
- 20', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 35', 2 - 0, Kelly P. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 39', Cleary R. 🟨,
- 43', Walsh L. 🟨,
- 45', 3 - 0, Connell L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bramall C. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 46', Nelson Z. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 46', Jones I. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
- 49', Kelly P. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 60', Earl J. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
- 62', Bland J. 🟨,
- 63', 4 - 0, Kodua G. (Own goal),
- 71', Saville G. ↓, Fanne L. ↑,
- 75', 5 - 0, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 78', Shepherd J. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
- 79', Cleary R. ↓, Vickers C. ↑,
- 79', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley
30.9% | Draw
26.6% | Luton Town
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Barnsley - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.1) |
3.52 ↓
(3.66) |
2.21 ↑
(2.1) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Luton will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 1.
- Recent performances by Barnsley have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Luton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
- Luton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barnsley: Jalo F.
(Knee Injury)
Phillips A.
(Inactive)
de Gevigney M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Morris S.
(Inactive)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnsley: Connell L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Clark J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Luton Town?
Barnsley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Barnsley?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
