Padova vs Sampdoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 17
  • Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.83
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
82% (453/550)76% (237/312)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.702.24
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
82% (453/550)76% (237/312)
Long passes
52% (38/73)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
62% (74/119)71% (75/105)
Crosses
22% (4/18)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.34
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1517
Tackles
80% (8/10)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5053
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.240.70
Goals prevented
1.24-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Coda M. , Depaoli F. (A),
  • 24', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 30', Conti F. 🟨,
  • 35', Fusi P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Conti F. , Benedetti L. ,
  • 46', Pafundi S. , Cherubini L. ,
  • 57', Crisetig L. , Seghetti A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Fusi P. , Bortolussi M. (A),
  • 66', Venuti L. , Ferrari A. ,
  • 67', Papu Gomez 🟨,
  • 72', Coda M. , Cuni M. ,
  • 74', Bortolussi M. , Baselli D. ,
  • 74', Barreca A. , Ghiglione P. ,
  • 79', Papu Gomez , Buonaiuto C. ,
  • 79', Fusi P. , Di Maggio L. ,
  • 80', Barak A. , Pedrola E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Padova
31.3%
Draw
31.6%
Sampdoria
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 31.1% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 30.7% 36%

Padova - Sampdoria Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.01
(2.86)
2.97
(3)
2.54
(2.55)
6.4%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Padova - Sampdoria?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Sampdoria (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Padova (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 2 - 50%). Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Injury) Harder J. (Yellow Cards) Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury) Pastina C. (Inactive) Silva J. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Bellemo A. (Muscle Injury) Cuni M. (Injury) Girelli S. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Padova: Papu Gomez (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Padova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Padova
    13.12.2025 Reggiana - Padova 1:2
    08.12.2025 Padova - Cesena 1:1
    29.11.2025 Pescara - Padova 0:1
    22.11.2025 Padova - Venezia 0:2
    08.11.2025 Mantova - Padova 1:0
    Latest results of Sampdoria
    12.12.2025 Palermo - Sampdoria 1:0
    07.12.2025 Sampdoria - Carrarese 3:2
    30.11.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 1:0
    24.11.2025 Sampdoria - Juve Stabia 1:0
    08.11.2025 Venezia - Sampdoria 3:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia22145344:192547
    2Frosinone22137240:192146
    3Monza22135434:181644
    4Palermo22118333:141941
    5Modena2297628:171134
    6Cesena22104829:27234
    7Juve Stabia22810424:23134
    8Catanzaro2288628:26232
    9Carrarese2278731:32-129
    10Sudtirol22610624:23128
    11Empoli2277826:28-228
    12Avellino2277827:35-828
    13Padova2267921:27-625
    14Sampdoria22571021:28-722
    15Reggiana22561125:32-721
    16Entella2249919:29-1021
    17Spezia22551219:29-1020
    18Mantova22551222:36-1420
    19Bari22481018:34-1620
    20Pescara22291127:44-1715

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation