Result
4:0
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 22
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/384) | 71% (306/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/384) | 71% (306/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (24/73) | 35% (25/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (55/101) | 43% (45/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Kodua G. ⚽, Fanne L. (A),
- 41', Westergaard M. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Kodua G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Westergaard M. ↓, Lowry A. ↑,
- 68', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 68', Fanne L. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, Clark J. ⚽, Yates J. (A),
- 75', Leahy L. ↓, Boyd-Munce C. ↑,
- 75', Quitirna A. ↓, Allen T. ↑,
- 76', Mengi T. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
- 76', Bramall C. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 0, Morris S. ⚽,
- 79', Norris W. 🟨,
- 84', Clark J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 87', Henderson E. ↓, Mullins J. ↑,
- 87', Onyedinma F. ↓, Huggins N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
43.7% | Draw
29.4% | Wycombe Wanderers
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wycombe Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wycombe Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.43) |
3.17 ↓
(3.23) |
3.51 ↑
(2.86) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Wycombe will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.
- Luton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wycombe has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wycombe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Luton could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Jones I.
(Injury)
Nakamba M.
(International duty)
Odoffin H.
(Inactive)
Richards J.
(Injury)
Walters R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wycombe: Abbott G.
(Inactive)
Scowen J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Luton won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Wycombe Wanderers?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wycombe Wanderers won against Luton Town?
Wycombe Wanderers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers were as follows:
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
