Varzim vs União de Santarém – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
48
Yellow cards
37
Red cards
01
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Rego R. 🟨,
  • 44', Filipe L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vila Cova M. , Derick ,
  • 53', Ventura B. 🟨,
  • 54', Oliveira R. 🟨,
  • 61', Graca H. , Boloto ,
  • 61', Gunjo J. , Gomes A. ,
  • 66', Goncalves E. F. 🟨,
  • 66', Ayiah E. , Teixeira G. ,
  • 71', Ventura B. , Medalli N. ,
  • 80', Goncalves E. F. 🟨,
  • 80', Rego R. , Pedro Clemente ,
  • 84', Oliveira R. , Benchi D. ,
  • 90+2', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nanco I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nanco I. , Koume S. ,
  • 90+7', Vinhas D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Simoes J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 0, Joaozinho (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Varzim
49.1%
Draw
28.2%
União de Santarém
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 31.2% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29.9% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.
  • União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União de Santarém might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Varzim - União de Santarém Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.25)
    3.26
    (2.93)
    4.04
    (3.26)
    8.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Recently, Santarém has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Varzim is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Varzim
    14.03.2026 Belenenses - Varzim 3:2
    21.02.2026 Varzim - Trofense 2:0
    15.02.2026 Mafra - Varzim 1:0
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica650111:5615
    2Amarante65019:5415
    3Os Belenenses742115:9614
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B731310:8210
    5Varzim73047:9-29
    6Santarem72057:11-46
    7Trofense71245:9-45
    8Mafra71155:13-84

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )