Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (574/650) | 80% (259/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (574/650) | 80% (259/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 44% (11/25) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (88/122) | 76% (71/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Elber ⚽, Araki R. (A),
- 35', Sekigawa I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Eduardo ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
- 64', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
- 65', Higuchi Y. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 65', Araki R. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 66', Elber ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Issaka Z. ⚽,
- 79', Misao K. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 79', Leo Ceara ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 79', Goya H. ↓, Matsumura T. ↑,
- 79', Tsukui T. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Ueda N. ⚽, Chinen K. (A),
- 87', Issaka Z. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
- 88', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Amagasa T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
62.3% | Draw
23.1% | JEF United Chiba
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+3%)
Kashima Antlers - JEF United Chiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.64) |
4.09 ↑
(3.99) |
6.32 ↑
(5.09) |
6.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - JEF United Chiba?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Kashima (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
- Kashima has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- JEF United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kashima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in JEF United: Suarez J.
(Knee Injury)
Taguchi T.
(Injury)
Tanaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Ueda Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in JEF United: Sugiyama N.
(Injury)
Tsubaki N.
(Ankle Injury)
- We predict that Kashima will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against JEF United Chiba?
Kashima Antlers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JEF United Chiba won against Kashima Antlers?
JEF United Chiba has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - JEF United Chiba were as follows:
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
