Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (688/740) | 79% (241/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (688/740) | 79% (241/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (26/35) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 88% (190/215) | 59% (38/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Everton ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 46', Clar W. ↓, Rafael Carvalheira ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Savarino J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Jean Carlos 🟨,
- 70', Jean Carlos ↓, Enio ↑,
- 70', Higor Meritao ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 71', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Enio ⚽, Marcinho (A),
- 79', Canobbio A. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 79', Bernal F. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 79', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 81', Enio 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽, Alisson (A),
- 87', Rafael Thyere ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
- 90+3', Guga ↓, Ignacio ↑,
- 90+3', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 90+5', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
- 90+6', PH Ganso 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
75% | Draw
16.7% | Chapecoense
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Fluminense - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.36) |
5.63 ↑
(4.36) |
11.61 ↑
(8.43) |
5.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Fluminense (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
- Fluminense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chapecoense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Cano G.
(Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Injury)
Nonato
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Giovanni Augusto
(Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Martinelli
(Injury)
Savarino J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Italo
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Chapecoense?
Fluminense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Fluminense?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Chapecoense were as follows:
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
