Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/04/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.371.79
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
24
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
04
Passes
74% (226/306)80% (345/430)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.371.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.161.99
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
108
Blocked shots
20
Shots inside the box
911
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1112
Passes
74% (226/306)80% (345/430)
Long passes
32% (16/50)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
56% (56/100)62% (52/84)
Crosses
24% (7/29)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.26
Throw ins
1425
Fouls
1211
Tackles
65% (11/17)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4652
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
1.990.16
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Copetti E. , Fernandez J. (A),
  • 21', Coronel E. 🟨,
  • 26', Duarte G. 🟨,
  • 34', Duarte G. , Di Maria A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Avila G. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Fernandez J. , Di Maria A. (A),
  • 59', Soto A. 🟨,
  • 60', Coronel E. , Mallo Blanco F. ,
  • 60', Copetti E. , Veliz A. ,
  • 60', Avila G. , Quintana C. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Valiente M. ,
  • 66', Gallardo F. , Garnerone M. ,
  • 66', Valiente M. , Bajamich M. ,
  • 72', Ferreira J. , Talpone N. ,
  • 78', Campaz J. , Navarro F. ,
  • 83', Antonini J. 🟥,
  • 84', Alanis G. , Galvan F. ,
  • 84', Cobos F. , Valenti M. ,
  • 90+4', Maffini G. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Cabrera A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
22.9%
Draw
30.4%
Rosario Central
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 27.6% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 27.2% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.13
    (4.33)
    3.08
    (3.42)
    2.03
    (1.87)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • E Río Cuarto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rosario is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • E Río Cuarto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rosario might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in E Río Cuarto: Fenoglio V. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez L. (Inactive) Ruiz M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez E. (Yellow Cards) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Mallo Blanco F. (Inactive) Ruben M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rosario: Pizarro V. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1475215:9626
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1454521:17419
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    4Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1475215:10526
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1456316:11521
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)