Result
28/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | DSports 1611 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | Dsports 1311 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Chances of winning
Millonarios
47.1% | Draw
29% | São Paulo
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Millonarios - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.46) |
3.23 ↑
(3.05) |
3.89 ↑
(2.9) |
6.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - São Paulo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Millonarios (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Millonarios could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against São Paulo?
Millonarios has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Millonarios?
São Paulo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - São Paulo were as follows:
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of São Paulo
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico-MG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Juventud | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Boston River | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Palestino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
