Corinthians vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter

Chances of winning


Corinthians
58.9%
Draw
27.1%
Peñarol de Montevideo
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 26.3% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 25.3% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Corinthians - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.59)
    3.5
    (3.55)
    6.65
    (6.28)
    6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Corinthians is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peñarol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Corinthians is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Heel Injury) Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Gui Negao (Hamstring Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Peñarol: Escobar F. (Red Card) Fernandez L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Corinthians: Kayke (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Corinthians will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Corinthians won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense32014:406
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)