Result
1:1
02/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (204/278) | 73% (234/322) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (204/278) | 73% (234/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/52) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (62/95) | 57% (59/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Everton Morelli ⚽, Patrick Brey (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Junior Todinho ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 46', Matheus Ribeiro ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
- 46', Wallace ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 50', Gabriel Inocencio 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Victor Andrade ⚽,
- 64', Luizao ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 64', Matheus Sales ↓, Rafael Gava ↑,
- 66', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
- 74', Kelvin ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
- 79', Wenderson ↓, Samuel Felix ↑,
- 79', Derek ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
- 80', Ze Hugo ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
- 87', Dodo ↓, Ramon ↑,
- 88', Marcio Maranhao 🟨,
- 90+2', Victor Andrade 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
39.3% | Draw
30.6% | Náutico Capibaribe
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Botafogo SP - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.61) |
3.04 ↓
(3.04) |
3.1 ↑
(2.69) |
7.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Náutico Capibaribe?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Náutico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Injury)
Ericson
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Mariano
(Inactive)
Guilherme Queiroz
(Inactive)
Hygor
(Injury)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
Rafael Gava
(Injury)
Victor Souza
(Injury)
- There will not play in Náutico: Paulo Sergio
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Botafogo SP has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Botafogo SP?
Náutico Capibaribe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
