Result
3:1
03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (266/338) | 75% (231/306) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (266/338) | 75% (231/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/112) | 64% (67/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Quinones D. 🟨,
- 18', Caballero J. 🟨,
- 43', Fagundez F. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Sanguinetti F. ⚽, Poveda I. (A),
- 50', Poveda I. 🟨,
- 50', Fagundez F. 🟨,
- 54', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 56', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 64', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 64', Torres D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Poveda I. ↓, Rodas M. ↑,
- 72', Bone F. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Olivera E. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 75', Palacios M. 🟨,
- 78', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
- 79', Rodallega H. 🟨,
- 80', Suarez K. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Bustos N. ⚽, Rodallega H. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3xp2d55d
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
46.6% | Draw
29.3% | Inter Bogotá
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.82) |
3.21 ↑
(3.2) |
3.89 ↓
(4.7) |
7.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Santa Fe will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Inter Bogotá?
Independiente Santa Fe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Bogotá won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Inter Bogotá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Inter Bogotá
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
