Result
03/05/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Zwolle
64.3% | Draw
19.1% | Heracles Almelo
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zwolle - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.49) |
4.95 ↓
(5.03) |
5.72 ↑
(5.27) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- Heracles is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 2.
- Recent performances by Zwolle have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Heracles has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Heracles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Zwolle is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Heracles Almelo?
Zwolle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Zwolle?
Heracles Almelo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
02.11.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
8:2
02.03.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
4:2
01.09.2024
Zwolle
-
Heracles Almelo
3:0
28.04.2024
Zwolle
-
Heracles Almelo
3:1
01.10.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
2:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
