Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/10/2025 at  09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Ekstraklasa - Round 13
- Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Canada | beIN Connect | 
|  Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go | 
|  Finland | Veikkaus TV | 
|  Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV | 
|  Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 42% | 58% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 78% (246/315) | 80% (347/432) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.87 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 19 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 17 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 78% (246/315) | 80% (347/432) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 45% (23/51) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 74% (59/80) | 72% (96/133) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 9% (2/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.36 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 14 | 26 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 3 | 17 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 48% (11/23) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 64 | 43 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 39 | 18 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 9 | 13 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.28 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.87 | -0.72 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Neugebauer T. 🟨, 
- 24', Struski K. 🟨, 
- 27', Pllana B. 🟨, 
- 30', 1 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽, 
- 33', 1 - 1, Bobcek T. ⚽, 
- 37', Struski K. 🟨, 
- 40', Vojtko M. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Neugebauer T. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑, 
- 63', Silva J. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑, 
- 64', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Bulat M. ↑, 
- 64', Rondic I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑, 
- 69', Cirkovic A. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑, 
- 76', Adriano ↓, Brunes J. ↑, 
- 78', 2 - 1, Pienko T. ⚽, Bulat M. (A), 
- 85', Pienko T. ↓, Repka O. ↑, 
- 86', Kludka B. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Raków Częstochowa 56.2%
 | Draw 24.6%
 | Lechia Gdańsk 19.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.63 ↑ (1.55)
 | 3.83 ↓ (4)
 | 4.95 ↓ (5.75)
 | 7.5% (6.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            14 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 5.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tudor F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Raków won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Lechia Gdańsk?
                    
                    
                        
                            Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Raków Częstochowa?
                    
                    
                        
                             Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
                                                        
                                03.03.2025 
                                Raków Częstochowa 
                                - 
                                Lechia Gdańsk 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.08.2024 
                                Lechia Gdańsk 
                                - 
                                Raków Częstochowa 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.10.2022 
                                Lechia Gdańsk 
                                - 
                                Raków Częstochowa 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Raków Częstochowa                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 | 
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:15 | 9 | 24 | 
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | Cracovia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 | 
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 | 
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 | 
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 | 
| 8 | Rakow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 | 
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | 
| 10 | Legia | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 | 
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 16 | 
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 | 
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 | 
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 | 
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 | 
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 10 | 
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 | 
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1