Result
0:1
04/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (219/296) | 81% (331/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (219/296) | 81% (331/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (76/122) | 64% (62/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Spertsyan E. ↓, Chernikov A. ↑,
- 60', Mansilla B. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
- 66', Sadulaev L. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
- 73', Paltsev V. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 75', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
- 83', Chernikov A. 🟨,
- 85', Cake K. ↓, Zare M. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Silva I. 🟥,
- 90+6', Chernikov A. 🟨,
- 90+8', Agkatsev S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
23.3% | Draw
26.1% | Krasnodar
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.16 ↑
(3.7) |
3.72 ↑
(3.5) |
1.92 ↑
(1.9) |
3.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Krasnodar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 2.
- Akhmat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Krasnodar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Krasnodar is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Krasnodar?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Akhmat Grozny?
Krasnodar has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar were as follows:
04.10.2025
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:0
19.04.2025
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:1
11.03.2025
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:2
02.10.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Krasnodar
3:0
15.08.2024
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:0
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 48:16 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Zenit | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 43:16 | 27 | 51 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 49:32 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 32:11 | 21 | 43 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18:25 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Akron Togliatti | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 28:40 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 14:29 | -15 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:42 | -19 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | Sochi | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 20:53 | -33 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
